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Fundamental Analysis and Indicators 

Economic Indicators for Fundamental Analysis
Economic Indicators Country/
Economy
Description Impact of volatility Remarks
Current Account All Current Account Medium to High A high reading is seen as positive (or Bullish) for thecurrency, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
Trade Balance All Trade Balance Medium to High A high reading is positive or bullish, while a low reading is negative (or bearish). Trade balance generally creates more volatility for USD.
Treasury International Capital (TIC) US Treasury International Capital (TIC) Medium A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is negative (or bearish).
Manufacturing/ Physical Output of factories, Mines & Utilities    US ISM Manufacturing Index Medium A result above 50 is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, whereas a result below 50 is seen as negative (or bearish).
US Empire State Business Conditions Index Medium A positive result indicates bullish for US Dollar, while a negative result shows poor growth of US Dollar.
All Industrial Production Low to Medium (Medium for Japan) A High reading is positive (or bullish), while low reading is negative (or bearish)
All Purchasing Managers' Index Medium result above 50 signals is bullish for the currency, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.
Durable Goods US Durable Goods Orders Medium A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is negative or bearish.
 Consumer Confidence       All  Consumer Confidence  Medium  A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the currency, while a low reading is negative (or bearish).
 US  Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index  Medium  A high reading anticipates positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
 All  Retail Sales  Medium to High (High for US)  A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish), while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
 US  Retails Sales Ex Autos  High  A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish), while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish) for USD.
 US  Personal Spending  High  A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish), while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish) for USD.
 Japan  Consumer Confidence House Holds  Medium  A result above 50 is positive (or bullish) for the JPY, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.
 Inflation          US  Personal Consumption Expenditure -Price Index, Core  High  A high reading is bullish for the USD, while a low reading is bearish.
 All  Consumer Price Index (CPI)  Medium to High  A high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the currency, while a low reading is seen as negative.
 US  Gross Domestic Purchase price Index  High  A high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish.
 UK  Core Consumer Price Index  Medium  A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
 UK  Retail Price Index  High  A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
 All  Producer Price Index (PPI)  Low to Medium  A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the currency, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
 US  Consumer Price Index (CPI) Ex Food & Energy  Medium  A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
 All  mport Price Index  Low to Medium. Medium for US  A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish), while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
 UK  BOE Inflation Letter  High  A high reading is seen positive (bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (bearish). It is worth noting that this tentative letter is only published when the CPI (YoY) is above 3.0%.
 Interest Rate  All  Interest Rate Decision  High  Raising interest rate is positive, or bullish, for the currency. While interest rate cuts are negative or bearish for the Forex pair.
 Employment      US  Non-Farm Employment Rate  High  A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
 All  Unemployment Rate (Jobless Rate)  High to Medium  A decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the currency, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).
 US  Personal Income  High  A high reading is positive for the USD, whereas a low reading is negative.
US Average Hourly Earning High A high reading is also positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.
US Average Weekly Hours High A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is negative.
Employment   US FOMC Meeting Minutes High (specially in volatile markets) If they show a hawkish outlook, that is seen as positive (or bullish) for the currency, otherwise it is seen as negative (or bearish).
 All  Central Bank Chairman/Governor's Speech  High (specially in volatile markets)  If they show a hawkish outlook, that is seen as positive (or bullish) for the currency, otherwise it is seen as negative (or bearish).
UK Bank of England (BOE) Minutes High The comments may determine a short-term positive or negative trend. If they show a hawkish outlook, that is seen as positive (or bullish) for the currency, otherwise it is seen as negative (or bearish).
 GDP  All  Gross Domestic Product  Medium to High (High for US)  A rising trend has a positive effect on the currency, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish).
 Market Sentiment Reports    Germany   ZEW Survey Medium  An optimistic view is considered as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative (or bearish).
 Germany  IFO- Business Climate and Expectations  Medium  The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
 Japan  Tankan Index  Medium  for Non-Manufacturing. Low for Manufacturing A result above the 0 level is seen as positive (or bullish) for the JPY, whereas a result below 0 is seen as negative (or bearish).
Housing
 Housing      US  Mortgage Bank Association (MBA) Mortgage Applications  Medium A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
 US  New Home Sales  Medium  A high reading is seen as bullish for the USD, whereas a low reading is seen as bearish.
US Housing Price Index Medium A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
US Construction Spending Medium A high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish.
US/Canada Housing starts Low to Medium. Medium for Canada and US A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Currency, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
         

 

 

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